The scoreboard

Who’s ahead

Standings

When the lead changed hands

    29 September 2026

    The Accord, read closely

    The text, titled “White House Accord on Super Intelligence: Joint Commitment on Frontier Responsibilities”, runs just over 300 words. It starts from a principle, that “every company is responsible for developing its own technology safely and in a way that builds trust with customers and the public,” and asks each company training frontier models to stack four layers of checks. Semafor reported that Zuckerberg raised the idea with Speaker Johnson at the state dinner for Xi Jinping, worked out the principles with Jensen Huang, and circulated a draft before the lunch; on All-In David Sacks described himself as one of its architects.

    Four layers of controls

    Each one watches the one before it.

    1
    Internal controlsMonitor the capabilities and alignment of models in training and deployment, “around areas like cybersecurity, biosecurity, and chemical threats,” and make sure they “do not hack or access technical systems in unintended ways.”
    2
    An internal teamChecks that the controls, monitoring and detection work as intended, and fixes what doesn’t.
    3
    An independent external auditorAn outside auditor or evaluator checks whether the controls, monitoring and detection work as intended. Each company chooses its own partner.
    4
    A board committeeAn independent committee of the board receives the internal and external reports and makes sure problems are fixed.

    What it has, and what it leaves out

    Read against the earlier pledges and the 2023 executive order.

    Who sat at the table

    The seating chart as All-In showed it. The six executives who signed are in blue. The other company leaders at the table, Nadella, Bezos, Lisa Su and Alex Karp among them, did not sign; none has given a reason. The bottom of the table was out of the frame, so a few seats are missing.

    signed · company, did not sign · government · investor or adviser

    “I think it’s morally binding … It’s almost like a constitution, in a way.”
    President Trump, asked whether it was binding (CBS News)
    “The technology has very real risks. And the mechanism, how we address those risks is still under discussion.”
    Dario Amodei (CNN)
    “The president’s response? To rename it and tell the companies developing it to regulate themselves.”
    Sen. Mark Warner
    The “Bretton Woods of super intelligence”: the first meeting to bring the key players of the new AI order to one table.
    David Sacks, on the All-In podcast, 2 October 2026 (as summarised)

    Third time

    Three rounds of voluntary promises

    The Accord is the third time the frontier labs have made voluntary safety commitments in public. Each round asked for something new, and none came with a way to enforce it. Microsoft and Amazon signed the first two rounds but not this one.

    RoundWho signedThe main promiseOutside checkMade publicEnforced by
    White House commitments21 Jul 2023 · Biden7 companies (Amazon, Anthropic, Google, Inflection, Meta, Microsoft, OpenAI); 15 by SeptemberTest models for safety and security before release; share risk information; watermark AI contentYes: testing “carried out in part by independent experts”Yes: report capabilities and limitationsNo one
    Frontier AI Safety Commitments21 May 2024 · Seoul summit16 companies, including Zhipu AI from China and xAIPublish a safety framework with thresholds of risk at which a model will not be deployedNot requiredYes: the frameworks are publishedNo one
    White House Accord on Super Intelligence29 Sep 2026 · Trump6 companies (Google, Anthropic, Meta, OpenAI, xAI, NVIDIA); Microsoft and Amazon present but not signingFour layers of controls and audits, up to the boardYes: an auditor the company choosesNot requiredNo one: “morally binding”

    The word

    What “superintelligence” has meant

    The bar used to be set by the best humans in every field. The executive order brought it down to any AI system. The marker on each card is my reading of how high that definition sets the bar.

    Other names for it

    ASI, transformative AI, powerful AI: the same idea has gone by many names, some for a mind past the best humans, some for the human-level rung below it, and some defined by what it would do to the world rather than how smart it is.

    NameWho, whenWhere it sets the barWhat it stressesSource

    Sources

    Each event’s sources are listed under it. For 2026, many come from news reports and law-firm summaries rather than the primary text. The Accord and EO 14434 are quoted from their published texts (American Presidency Project; Federal Register), and EO 14409 follows the Congressional Research Service’s summary. Calling CAISI the testing body under EO 14409 rests only on secondary blogs, so this page doesn’t. Hassabis’s essay was published on X; it is cited here through summaries. The seating chart is transcribed from the All-In episode; the off-frame guests are from Axios’s list.

    The Accord and the executive order

    1. “White House Accord on Super Intelligence,” 29 September 2026, The American Presidency Project. presidency.ucsb.edu; also “READ IN FULL,” Washington Examiner. washingtonexaminer.com
    2. Executive Order 14434, “Inaugurating the Era of Super Intelligence,” 91 FR 63129, 2 October 2026. govinfo.gov
    3. “Trump and major AI executives sign ‘morally binding’ voluntary controls: ‘It’s almost like a constitution’,” CBS News, 29 September 2026. cbsnews.com
    4. “Top AI executives sign commitment to ‘self-police’ after meeting at White House,” CNN, 29 September 2026. cnn.com
    5. Sara Dorn, “White House Releases ‘Accord’ Between Billionaire AI Execs: Here’s What It Says,” Forbes, 30 September 2026. forbes.com
    6. “White House unveils ‘super intelligence’ executive order and industry accord,” Defense One / Nextgov, September 2026. defenseone.com
    7. “Executive Order Rebrands AI as ‘Super Intelligence’ and Signals Potential Federal Legislative Changes,” Wiley, September 2026. wiley.law
    8. “Trump tries to rename AI ‘super intelligence’ as polls show him sinking on key issue,” CNBC, 29 September 2026. cnbc.com
    9. “How Zuckerberg shaped Trump’s AI industry pledge,” Semafor, 30 September 2026. semafor.com; also “Zuckerberg drafted Trump’s AI accord, but Microsoft and Amazon didn’t sign,” The Next Web, October 2026. thenextweb.com
    10. “Warner Statement on President Trump’s Executive Order to Rebrand ‘Artificial Intelligence’,” Office of Sen. Mark Warner, September 2026. warner.senate.gov
    11. “Trump’s AI Safety Pact Is Toothless. But There Is a Path Forward.,” Council on Foreign Relations, 2026. cfr.org

    The table

    1. “Trump’s Super Intelligence Summit, AI Safety Accord, GDP Beats, Midterm Predictions,” All-In podcast, 2 October 2026 (seating chart shown on the episode; Sacks’s remarks as summarised in episode write-ups).
    2. “Full list of attendees at White House AI lunch,” Axios, 29 September 2026. axios.com
    3. “David Sacks steps down as Donald Trump’s AI, crypto czar for new advisory role,” The Hill, March 2026. thehill.com

    The earlier pledges

    1. “Fact sheet: Biden-Harris Administration Secures Voluntary Commitments from Leading Artificial Intelligence Companies to Manage the Risks Posed by AI,” The White House, 21 July 2023. bidenwhitehouse.archives.gov
    2. “Frontier AI Safety Commitments, AI Seoul Summit 2024,” UK Department for Science, Innovation and Technology, 21 May 2024. gov.uk

    Every mark on the timeline