What it shows

Past the cutoff: answer or abstain?

Every model was told to write IDK rather than guess. These are the date questions about events after each model's cutoff (the stated one where its maker publishes it, otherwise the estimate from the chart), split by what it did.

How far off the dates were

For every dated answer, the model's month minus the true month. Left of zero is too early, right is too late; misses beyond two years are piled at the ends.

Which came first, and who shipped it first

The most-missed events

Date questions no model got to the month and most dated two or more months off, with the date the timeline gives and the source it cites.

    Every question asked

    The dataset

    Sources and method